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Mexico to keep importing natural gas as U.S. exporters face oversupply

Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador said it will be a long time before Mexico produces enough natural gas to become self-sufficient and the country will continue to rely on imports until then, a boon for U.S. exporters.

Mexico imports more than 70% of its gas needs from abroad, and more than 90% of those purchases come from the United States.

"It's going take a long time to be self-sufficient in gas," Lopez Obrador told reporters at his daily news conference. "We're going to be forced to import gas because gas production and extraction was completely neglected."

Lopez Obrador has promised to reverse declining oil and gas production by strengthening state oil company Pemex.

But he has also scrapped the auction of oil and gas blocks to private firms, which some analysts say runs counter to the goal of boosting national production.

Mexico's oil and gas regulator has said Mexico should speed up development of its natural gas reserves, including potentially massive shale deposits, to curb a growing "supply risk" fed by excessive dependence on U.S. supplies.

U.S. natural gas pipeline exports to Mexico hit a monthly historic high of 170.6 billion cubic feet in October, according to data published by the U.S. Energy Information Administration. Mexico also imports liquefied natural gas.

"For U.S. producers, Mexico is an important outlet for exports, especially given the current oversupply we are seeing particularly in states such as Texas," said James Fowler, senior energy analyst for the Americas at global commodity market intelligence provider ICIS.

Fowler said Mexican demand for imported gas should continue growing in the coming years as new pipelines are completed in central Mexico and new power plants come online.

"While some small new fields are expected to come online in the next couple of years, these volumes are unlikely to make much of a difference as Pemex's production from older fields continues to fall," he added. "At best, new production coming onstream in the next 2-3 years will halt the decline and stabilize production at current levels." (Reporting by Diego Ore, Anthony Esposito and Marianna Parraga; Editing by Paul Simao)

Copyright © 2019. All market data is provided by Barchart Solutions. Futures: at least a 10 minute delay. Information is provided 'as is' and solely for informational purposes, not for trading purposes or advice. To see all exchange delays and terms of use, please see disclaimer.

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Editorial Comment: The Future of FLNG: Less is More?
-Adrienne Blume
Global LNG export capacity is expected to increase by 45% between 2017 and 2022, to more than 400 metric MMtpy, with 90% of the new capacity coming from sanctioned projects in the U.S. and Australia. By 2050, this capacity is anticipated to exceed 700 MMtpy. Regasification capacity is anticipated to increase even more sharply.
Executive Viewpoint: Back to production: Where we’re going, we don’t need pipelines
-Mark Casaday
What if a cost-effective way existed to extract and distribute natural gas, regardless of proximity to pipeline, and bring those assets back to production? What if the industry went in a direction that did not need pipelines? For those looking to monetize unproductive natural gas assets or bring unproductive wells back to production, it would be revolutionary.
Regional Focus:Australia to boost LNG exports despite domestic gas shortage
-Eugene Gerden
Australia is planning further increases in LNG production and exports over the next decade, despite quickly depleting reserves and a looming supply shortage in the domestic market.

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